Economic and Spatial Objectives of the Development of New Hydrocarbon Deposits in the Arctic Zone of the Russian Federation

The subject of the study is the development of the natural resources of the Arctic regions of the country.

The purpose of the work is to assess the priority of the directions of economic and spatial development of the extraction and transportation of hydrocarbon resources, including geological exploration and scientific and technical support for solving industry problems, in order to increase the efficiency of their financing. A feature of the construction of a hierarchical tree for the development of the riches of the Arctic regions of Russia as a way to represent its hierarchical structure graphically according to the levels “the purpose of the assessment — the directions of development of the oil and gas industry — the components of the directions of development” is a block structure, since the components of the directions of development form blocks that relate only to a certain direction.

The result of the study was a forecast of the priority of development directions and their components based on expert assessments — that was proposed to be carried out on a digital basis — a modification of the hierarchy analysis method, which makes it possible to evaluate a hierarchical tree including a block structure. For the practical use of this approach, an algorithm has been developed, which has been tested in the forecast for the period up to 2030. The calculations carried out for the past periods showed that the calculated priority estimates took into account the most important work carried out in the industry to reorient export flows of hydrocarbons to the Asia-Pacific region and other countries of Asia and Latin America.

Conclusions are drawn that the developed approach corresponds to the set goal and the obtained priority estimates can be used as the basis for creating a target investment program for the economic and spatial development of the oil and gas industry, as the basis of a digital model for the development of the region.

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