<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?>
<!DOCTYPE article PUBLIC "-//NLM//DTD JATS (Z39.96) Journal Publishing DTD v1.3 20210610//EN" "JATS-journalpublishing1-3.dtd">
<article article-type="research-article" dtd-version="1.3" xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xml:lang="ru"><front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">etl</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title xml:lang="ru">Экономика. Налоги. Право</journal-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Economics, taxes &amp; law</trans-title></trans-title-group></journal-title-group><issn pub-type="ppub">1999-849X</issn><issn pub-type="epub">2619-1474</issn><publisher><publisher-name>Финансовый университет при Правительстве Российской Федерации</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.26794/1999-849X-2024-17-1-65-76</article-id><article-id custom-type="elpub" pub-id-type="custom">etl-125</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Research Article</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="ru"><subject>ЭКОНОМИКА И УПРАВЛЕНИЕ</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="en"><subject>ECONOMICS AND MANAGEMENT</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title>Возможности адаптации России к новым условиям глобального развития в период поликризиса мировой экономики.</article-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>The possibilities of russia’s adaptation to the new conditions of global development during the global economic crisis.</trans-title></trans-title-group></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6864-4281</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Щурина</surname><given-names>С. В.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Shchurina</surname><given-names>S. V.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Светлана Валентиновна Щурина — кандидат экономических наук, доцент, доцент кафедры корпоративных финансов и корпоративного управления</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Svetlana V. Shchurina — Cand. Sci. (Econ.), Assoc. Prof., Assoc. Prof. of the Department of Corporate Finance and Corporate Governance</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">sv-valentinovna@mail.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib></contrib-group><aff-alternatives id="aff-1"><aff xml:lang="ru"><institution>Финансовый университет</institution><country>Россия</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en"><institution>Financial University</institution><country>Russian Federation</country></aff></aff-alternatives><pub-date pub-type="collection"><year>2024</year></pub-date><pub-date pub-type="epub"><day>12</day><month>05</month><year>2025</year></pub-date><volume>17</volume><issue>1</issue><fpage>65</fpage><lpage>76</lpage><permissions><copyright-statement>Copyright &amp;#x00A9; Щурина С.В., 2025</copyright-statement><copyright-year>2025</copyright-year><copyright-holder xml:lang="ru">Щурина С.В.</copyright-holder><copyright-holder xml:lang="en">Shchurina S.V.</copyright-holder><license xml:lang="ru" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.</license-p></license><license xml:lang="en" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.</license-p></license></permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://etl.fa.ru/jour/article/view/125">https://etl.fa.ru/jour/article/view/125</self-uri><abstract><p>Предмет исследования — состояние мировой экономики, определяемое комплексом негативных тенденций, вызванных пандемией коронавируса; проведением специальной военной операции на Украине и связанным с ней энергетическим кризисом; военным конфликтом на Ближнем Востоке в секторе Газа; ростом инфляции; увеличением долгового бремени; последствиями изменения климата. Цель работы — определение возможностей России по адаптации к новым условиям глобального развития мировой экономики. Показано, что наступившее десятилетие будет уникальным по уровню неопределенности и турбулентности или «десятилетием поликризиса» из-за одновременного пересечения разных категорий рисков. Обосновано, что устойчивость российской экономики должна обеспечиваться регионализацией и переориентацией на другие мировые рынки вопреки санкционному давлению; участием России в формировании широкого евразийского партнерства на принципах равноправного и взаимовыгодного сотрудничества; освоением Северного морского пути, который сделает возможным обеспечение связи с логистическими узлами на юге Евразии. Определены глобальные риски мировой экономики по степени их значимости. Рассмотрен индекс цен на продовольствие, составленный Продовольственной и сельскохозяйственной организацией ООН. Обоснован способ уменьшения в России инвестиционного дисбаланса посредством более широкого применения стабилизационной оговорки. Сделаны выводы о необходимости выстраивания государственной политики России в области международного сотрудничества без ценностно-политического давления на страны-партнеры</p></abstract><trans-abstract xml:lang="en"><p>The subject of the study is the state of the global economy, determined by a set of negative trends caused by the coronavirus pandemic; the conduct of a special military operation in Ukraine and the related energy crisis; the military conflict in the Middle East in the Gaza Strip; rising inflation; an increase in the debt burden; the effects of climate change. The purpose of the work is to determine the possibilities of Russia to adapt to the new conditions of global development of the world economy. It is shown that the coming decade will be unique in terms of uncertainty and turbulence, or a “decade of polycrisis” due to the simultaneous intersection of different risk categories. It is proved that the stability of the Russian economy should be ensured by regionalization and reorientation to other world markets in spite of sanctions pressure; Russia’s participation in the formation of a broad Eurasian partnership based on the principles of equal and mutually beneficial cooperation; the development of the Northern Sea Route, which will make it possible to ensure communication with logistics hubs in the south of Eurasia. The global risks of the world economy on the horizon of two and ten years have been identified according to their degree of importance. The food price index compiled by the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nationsis considered. The method of reducing the investment imbalance in Russia through the wider application of the stabilization clause is substantiated. Conclusions are drawn about the need to build Russia’s state policy in the field of international cooperation without value political pressure on partner countries.</p></trans-abstract><kwd-group xml:lang="ru"><kwd>глобализация</kwd><kwd>инклюзивная экономика</kwd><kwd>поликризис</kwd><kwd>инфляция</kwd><kwd>новый мировой порядок</kwd><kwd>стабилизационная оговорка</kwd></kwd-group><kwd-group xml:lang="en"><kwd>globalization</kwd><kwd>inclusive economy</kwd><kwd>political crisis</kwd><kwd>inflation</kwd><kwd>new world order</kwd><kwd>stabilization clause</kwd></kwd-group></article-meta></front><back><ref-list><title>References</title><ref id="cit1"><label>1</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Marsh McLennan Life support: a people prescription for resilient healthsystems. URL: https://www.marshmclennan.com/content/dam/mmc-web/insights/publications/2022/november/Life%20support%20-%20A%20people%20prescription%20for%20resilient%20health%20systems.pdf.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Marsh McLennan Life support: a people prescription for resilient healthsystems. URL: https://www.marshmclennan.com/content/dam/mmc-web/insights/publications/2022/november/Life%20support%20-%20A%20people%20prescription%20for%20resilient%20health%20systems.pdf.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit2"><label>2</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Шваб Клаус, Ванхэм Питер Капитализм всеобщего блага. Новая модель мировой экономики. М.: Бомбора; 2022. 352 с.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Schwab Klaus, Vanham Peter. Stakeholder capitalism: a global economy that works for progress, people and planet. Moscow: Bombora; 2022. 352 p. (In Russ.).</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit3"><label>3</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Schwab K., Vanham P. Stakeholder capitalism: a global economy that works for progress, people and planet. Wiley; 2021. 304 p.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Schwab K., Vanham P. Stakeholder capitalism: a global economy that works for progress, people and planet. Wiley; 2021. 304 p.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit4"><label>4</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Klaus Schwab, Thierry Malleret. The great narrative: for a better future.2022 World economic forum. Geneva, Switzerland; 2022.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Klaus Schwab, Thierry Malleret. The great narrative: for a better future. 2022 World economic forum. Geneva, Switzerland; 2022.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit5"><label>5</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Schwab K., Malleret T. COVID-19: The great reset. Forum publishing; 2020. 280 p.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Schwab K., Malleret T. COVID-19: the great reset. Forum publishing; 2020. 280 p.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit6"><label>6</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Седлачек Т. Экономика добра и зла. В поисках смысла экономики от Гильгамеша до Уолл-стрит. М.: АД Маргинем; 2022. 544 с.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Sedlachek T. The economy of good and evil. In search of the meaning of economics from gilgamesh to wall street. Moscow: AD Marginem; 2022. 544 p. (In Russ.).</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit7"><label>7</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Тевелева Оксана The great reset Клауса Шваба и Тьерри Маллерета как новый манифест ультраглобалистов. Цифровая экономика 2021;13(1). DOI: 10.34706/DE-2021–01–09</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Тeveleva Oksana The great reset by Klaus Schwab and Thierry Malleret as a new manifesto of ultra-globalists. Tsifrovaya ekonomika = Digital economy 2021;13(1). (In Russ.). DOI: 10.34706/DE-2021–01–09</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit8"><label>8</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Лейбин В.М. Римский клуб: хроника докладов. Философия и общество. 1997;(6):204–221.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Leibin V. M. Club of Rome: chronicle of reports. Filosofiya i obshchestvo = Philosophy and society. 1997;(6):204–221. (In Russ.).</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit9"><label>9</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Родрик Д. Парадокс глобализации. Демократия и будущее мировой экономики. М.: Институт Гайдара; 2014. 576 с.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Rodrik D. The paradox of globalization. Democracy and the future of the world economy. Moscow: Gaidar Institute; 2014. 576 p. (In Russ.).</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit10"><label>10</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Фукуяма Ф. Конец истории и последний человек. М.: АСТ. Серия: Philosophy; 2005. 592 с.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Fukuyama F. The end of history and the last man. Moscow: AST. Series: Philosophy; 2005. 592 p. (In Russ.).</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref></ref-list><fn-group><fn fn-type="conflict"><p>The authors declare that there are no conflicts of interest present.</p></fn></fn-group></back></article>
